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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.7 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
BUY Yes @ 7.1¢ · 142,254 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Jsram took Yes (buy) for $10.1k at an average 7.1¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 7¢ means
7%chance the market gave
+1308American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 7.1¢
- Implied odds
- 7.1%
- As American odds
- +1308 no vig
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Jun 30, 08:04 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 21:16 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jsram
- Tx
- 0xdab67e04…
This wallet's graded record
11/33+3.7 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsYes price · entry 7.1¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $107.6k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $66.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $20.0k | called |