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What this means. A wallet put $35.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?missed
$35.7k
SELL Yes @ 65¢ · 55,172 shares
Size ≥ $10kOther

What happened

Wallet planetnine took Yes (sell) for $35.7k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $35.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
65¢
Implied odds
35.3%
Size
$35.7k
Placed
Feb 27, 16:02 EST
Market close
Feb 28, 04:34 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
planetnine
Tx
0xace6a5f5…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-11.0 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -35 pts
Yes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 65¢ · $35.7k WHALE $35.7K @ 65¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.8k0% 0x20fe…f411237d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% Ingg237d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $27.5k0% XZCapital238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $38.8k
2.1× usual
0% westminster238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.9k100% ADancrypto238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $106.0k
2.1× usual
0% 0x1abe…6497238d agoexcluded