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What this means. A wallet put $43.0k on Colorado Rockies, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsmissed
$43.0k
BUY Colorado Rockies @ 43¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet scootergene took Colorado Rockies (buy) for $43.0k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved Washington Nationals, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $43.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Colorado Rockies wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
43.0%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$43.0k
Placed
Aug 27, 09:18 EDT
Market close
Aug 27, 13:05 EDT
Result
Washington Nationals
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
scootergene
Tx
0xa1ad5a2d…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+4.5 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
Colorado Rockies price · entry 43¢ · resolved Washington Nationals
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $43.0k WHALE $43.0K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsLOW BUY Washington Nationals @ 99¢ $48.6k
2.3× usual
99% omoi0i057d agoexcluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsMED BUY Washington Nationals @ 77¢ $55.7k
2.4× usual
77% ferrariChampions202657d agoexcluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsHIGH BUY Washington Nationals @ 77¢ $291.8k
4.6× usual
77% mentionmarket57d agoexcluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsLOW BUY Washington Nationals @ 87¢ $34.8k87% User124432257d agoexcluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsLOW SELL Washington Nationals @ 85¢ $18.9k15% Dropper57d agoexcluded
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsLOW BUY Washington Nationals @ 78¢ $12.9k78% kotik757d agoexcluded