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+$419North Dakota State · avg 48¢ → 50¢ · $8,461+$234Buccaneers · avg 55¢ → 58¢ · $3,918−$26Northwestern State · avg 45¢ → 44¢ · $1,122−$16Flames · avg 43¢ → 42¢ · $927+$94Suns · avg 65¢ → 78¢ · $582
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.8 wins, so it did +4.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+4.5 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.8
Flagged volume
$334.6k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$53.9k
Last 30 days +$241.1k · $7.15M volume · 4,330 trades · since Jun 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.25M
Open P&L · 231 positions
−$460.7k
Closed-position win rate
84%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
121d
739 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.8 | +4.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5 | MED BUY Over @ 51¢ | $63.8k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
 Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $43.2k | excluded |
 Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $54.6k | called |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 89¢ | $24.4k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 50¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 Colts vs. Commanders | LOW BUY Colts @ 87¢ | $32.2k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW BUY Colts @ 59¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 51¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | LOW BUY Panthers @ 56¢ | $12.8k | called |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $27.6k | called |
 Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals | LOW BUY Colorado Rockies @ 43¢ | $43.0k | missed |
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