← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $40.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.2 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.9k
BUY Yes @ 70¢ · 58,444 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Allezpapa took Yes (buy) for $40.9k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.9k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.0%
- As American odds
- −233 no vig
- Size
- $40.9k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 14:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Allezpapa
- Tx
- 0xa0063789…
This wallet's graded record
18/32+12.2 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsYes price · entry 70¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $124.0k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $56.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.38M 6.0× usual |
excluded |