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What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.8k
BUY No @ 98.1¢ · 13,064 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet XAE12Archangel took No (buy) for $12.8k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5163American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.1¢
- Implied odds
- 98.1%
- Size
- $12.8k
- Placed
- Feb 04, 14:09 EST
- Market close
- Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- XAE12Archangel
- Tx
- 0x9e6fc398…
This wallet's graded record
13/19+5.4 pts
expected 12.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $400.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $203.0k | excluded |