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What this means. A wallet put $57.5k on Over, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5pending
$57.5k
BUY Over @ 47¢ · 122,547 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet RichieRicher took Over (buy) for $57.5k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $57.5k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
47¢
Implied odds
46.9%
As American odds
+113 no vig
Size
$57.5k
Placed
Oct 24, 05:29 EDT
Market close
Oct 24, 07:30 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
RichieRicher
Tx
0x8d75ecf8…
This wallet's graded record
9/12+17.3 pts
expected 6.9 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry +1.6 pts
Over price · entry 47¢ · now 48¢
34¢54¢75¢ Whale entry 47¢ · $57.5k WHALE $57.5K @ 47¢ +2 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ $12.9k52% 0xb4f9…c9a71h agopending
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Over @ 50¢ $13.4k50% jiafan1h agopending
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5LOW Over UP +10.0 pts $167.0k whale money behind it $281.8k
24h vol
50% —2h agopending
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5MED BUY Over @ 49¢ $96.1k
4.9× usual
49% Zzzz87 PROVEN2h agopending
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ $23.0k50% 1l2ihj34li12u342h agopending
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5LOW BUY Under @ 52¢ $10.9k52% fraagen2h agopending