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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $15.0k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- May 15, 13:01 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x8ad157c2…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.8k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $128.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |