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What this means. A wallet put $57.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$57.1k
BUY No @ 94.1¢ · 60,616 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hProven wallet2.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $57.1k at an average 94.1¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $57.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1608American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.1¢
- Implied odds
- 94.1%
- Size
- $57.1k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 15:27 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x6d863438…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +6 ptsNo price · entry 94.1¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $172.5k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $67.2k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $16.7k | excluded |