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What this means. A wallet put $100.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$100.0k
BUY No @ 94.8¢ · 105,525 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet kindar took No (buy) for $100.0k at an average 94.8¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $100.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1810American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.8¢
- Implied odds
- 94.8%
- As American odds
- −1810 no vig
- Size
- $100.0k
- Placed
- Sep 15, 09:18 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kindar
- Tx
- 0x6a91f47e…
This wallet's graded record
8/9+15.3 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 94.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $37.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $17.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $67.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $19.9k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $11.3k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 93¢ | $32.7k | called |