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Heat vs. Hornetscalled
What this means. A wallet put $22.4k on not Heat, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Heat vs. Hornetscalled$22.4k
SELL Heat @ 30¢ · 74,523 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet UnderperformingForALivin took Heat (sell) for $22.4k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Hornets, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 70.0%
- As American odds
- −233 no vig
- Size
- $22.4k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 12:49 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Hornets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- UnderperformingForALivin
- Tx
- 0x618e44eb…
This wallet's graded record
7/13-3.4 pts
expected 7.4 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsHeat price · entry 30¢ · resolved Hornets · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | MED SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $732.1k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW SELL Hornets @ 99.9¢ | $153.4k 6.1× usual |
excluded |