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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
BUY Yes @ 47¢ · 25,158 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took Yes (buy) for $11.7k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+115American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 46.5%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 16:51 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 20, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x59a09892…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $10.8k | excluded |