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What this means. A wallet put $20.4k on Under, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.2 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.4k
BUY Under @ 68¢ · 29,966 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Allezpapa took Under (buy) for $20.4k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $20.4k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 21:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Allezpapa
- Tx
- 0x4e03d6a6…
This wallet's graded record
18/32+12.2 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsUnder price · entry 68¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 98¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 57¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 77¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | MED SELL Over @ 81¢ | $24.4k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 83¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 29¢ | $15.7k | excluded |