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Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $26.1k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsmissed$26.1k
BUY Nuggets @ 56¢ · 46,600 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet BoggsFromShawshank took Nuggets (buy) for $26.1k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $26.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−128American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −128 no vig
- Size
- $26.1k
- Placed
- Mar 01, 13:15 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 15:30 EST
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BoggsFromShawshank
- Tx
- 0x4ad10bec…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-24.4 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -56 ptsNuggets price · entry 56¢ · resolved Timberwolves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $50.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $30.4k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $13.8k | excluded |