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Cavaliers vs. Buckscalled
What this means. A wallet put $33.6k on Bucks, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It won. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.6k
BUY Bucks @ 42¢ · 80,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 212121212121212121212 took Bucks (buy) for $33.6k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Bucks, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $33.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bucks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $33.6k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 14:55 EST
- Market close
- Feb 25, 20:00 EST
- Result
- Bucks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 212121212121212121212
- Tx
- 0x44129ec1…
This wallet's graded record
3/10-11.6 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +58 ptsBucks price · entry 42¢ · resolved Bucks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Bucks @ 99¢ | $37.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 59¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ | $15.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Bucks @ 42¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 58¢ | $134.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |