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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.7 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
BUY Yes @ 0.6¢ · 2,750,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Jsram took Yes (buy) for $16.5k at an average 0.6¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 1¢ means
1%chance the market gave
+16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 0.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.6%
- As American odds
- +16567 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 11:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 03:21 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jsram
- Tx
- 0x2e05c76c…
This wallet's graded record
11/33+3.7 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 0.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $184.5k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $30.8k | excluded |