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What this means. A wallet put $23.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.7k
BUY No @ 50¢ · 47,046 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $23.7k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $23.7k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−101American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.4%
- Size
- $23.7k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 16:43 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 20, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x1f03f22f…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $10.8k | excluded |