← Live flags
Eagles vs. Bearsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on Eagles, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.9k
BUY Eagles @ 64¢ · 32,707 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xb915…8da5 took Eagles (buy) for $20.9k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Eagles wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.0%
- As American odds
- −178 no vig
- Size
- $20.9k
- Placed
- Sep 26, 14:42 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 28, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb915…8da5
- Tx
- 0x1d99ff47…
This wallet's graded record
7/13-4.4 pts
expected 7.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -64 ptsEagles price · entry 64¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bears @ 99.8¢ | $56.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Bears @ 74¢ | $85.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Bears @ 61¢ | $80.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Bears @ 49¢ | $92.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |