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What this means. A wallet put $20.9k on Eagles, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Eagles vs. Bearsmissed
$20.9k
BUY Eagles @ 64¢ · 32,707 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xb915…8da5 took Eagles (buy) for $20.9k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Eagles wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
64¢
Implied odds
64.0%
As American odds
−178 no vig
Size
$20.9k
Placed
Sep 26, 14:42 EDT
Market close
Sep 28, 20:15 EDT
Result
Bears
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xb915…8da5
Tx
0x1d99ff47…
This wallet's graded record
7/13-4.4 pts
expected 7.6 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -64 pts
Eagles price · entry 64¢ · resolved Bears
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 64¢ · $20.9k WHALE $20.9K @ 64¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Eagles vs. BearsLOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ $21.2k0% 0x7767…4fb225d agoexcluded
Eagles vs. BearsLOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ $15.6k0% insidiousidiot25d agoexcluded
Eagles vs. BearsLOW BUY Bears @ 99.8¢ $56.7k
2.1× usual
100% BunCaCham25d agoexcluded
Eagles vs. BearsMED BUY Bears @ 74¢ $85.9k
3.0× usual
74% ziyoucui25d agoexcluded
Eagles vs. BearsMED BUY Bears @ 61¢ $80.8k
2.6× usual
61% ethanaz25d agoexcluded
Eagles vs. BearsMED BUY Bears @ 49¢ $92.5k
2.2× usual
49% 0x2c33…056325d agoexcluded