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Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $31.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.2 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded$31.7k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 64,593 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet wr0ngw4yb3tt0r took No (buy) for $31.7k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $31.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $31.7k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 16:00 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
- Tx
- 0x0c932962…
This wallet's graded record
9/21-1.2 pts
expected 9.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +51 ptsNo price · entry 49¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 90.5¢ | $99.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $62.5k | excluded |