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What this means. A wallet put $49.1k on Under, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.1k
BUY Under @ 51¢ · 96,334 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Under (buy) for $49.1k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $49.1k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $49.1k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 04:04 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x055ef106…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsUnder price · entry 51¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 98.7¢ | $46.1k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 97.2¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 45¢ | $40.1k | excluded |