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Buccaneers vs. Cowboysmissed
What this means. A wallet put $321.3k on Cowboys, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$321.3k
BUY Cowboys @ 81¢ · 396,501 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1h14.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet crazyoddslover took Cowboys (buy) for $321.3k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved Buccaneers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $321.3k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−427American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cowboys wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 81.0%
- As American odds
- −427 no vig
- Size
- $321.3k
- Placed
- Oct 08, 17:05 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 08, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Buccaneers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- crazyoddslover
- Tx
- 0x032d2a05…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-17.5 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -81 ptsCowboys price · entry 81¢ · resolved Buccaneers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Buccaneers @ 80¢ | $22.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Cowboys @ 24¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Buccaneers @ 92.8¢ | $32.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Buccaneers @ 77¢ | $26.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Buccaneers @ 97¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Buccaneers @ 89¢ | $158.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |