Weekly report card
Week 2026-02
Jan 05, 00:00 EST – Jan 11, 23:59 EST · markets that resolved this week
Price-adjusted edge
-3.8 pts
Called
1/3
Expected from price
1.1
Std. error
±13.8
In week 2026-02, 3 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 1 times; entry prices implied 1.1. Whales did no better than the price (-3.8 pts). One week is a small sample.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 1 | 1.1 | -3.8 pts |
Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)
Biggest misses
Every graded flag
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 7.5¢ | $24.2k | missed |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 7.5¢ | $19.6k | missed |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96.5¢ | $12.2k | called |
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