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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -7.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-7.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$43.8k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$20.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.64M volume · 1,048 trades · since Jan 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$11.5k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$8,600
Closed-position win rate
37%
62 closed
Wallet age · markets
1018d
64 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | -7.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 7.5¢ | $24.2k | missed |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 7.5¢ | $19.6k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xb3a7248f8587bd09ad2860494332e35303d8e661"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xb3a7248f8587bd09ad2860494332e35303d8e661.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb3a724…