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What this means. A wallet put $19.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.6k
BUY Yes @ 7.5¢ · 263,216 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xb3a7…e661 took Yes (buy) for $19.6k at an average 7.5¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 7¢ means
7%chance the market gave
+1242American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 7.5¢
- Implied odds
- 7.5%
- Size
- $19.6k
- Placed
- Jan 08, 03:20 EST
- Market close
- Jan 11, 19:38 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb3a7…e661
- Tx
- 0xee6f137e…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-7.5 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsYes price · entry 7.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 7.5¢ | $24.2k | missed |