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Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $41.8k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsmissed$41.8k
BUY Timberwolves @ 20¢ · 209,080 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet EdZachary took Timberwolves (buy) for $41.8k at an average 20¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $41.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 20¢ means
20%chance the market gave
+400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 20¢
- Implied odds
- 20.0%
- As American odds
- +400 no vig
- Size
- $41.8k
- Placed
- Apr 27, 13:45 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 27, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- EdZachary
- Tx
- 0xffdbd581…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-15.9 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -20 ptsTimberwolves price · entry 20¢ · resolved Nuggets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.3¢ | $111.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.7¢ | $40.8k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 98.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 22¢ | $10.7k | excluded |