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What this means. A wallet put $87.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?excluded
$87.0k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 150,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.3× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Yes (buy) for $87.0k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $87.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$87.0k
Placed
Jun 19, 17:41 EDT
Market close
Jun 19, 18:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x3dfb…abaf
Tx
0xfbb696f7…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +42 pts
Yes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $87.0k WHALE $87.0K @ 58¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.4k0% 0x91b9…3ab4126d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% sightbringer126d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $160.5k
4.2× usual
0% 0xf751…fec8126d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% crypto-ericwu126d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $36.1k0% trillionaire126d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.2k0% tennischamp126d agoexcluded