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What this means. A wallet put $73.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$73.7k
BUY No @ 95.2¢ · 77,393 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet jeffy33 took No (buy) for $73.7k at an average 95.2¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $73.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1987American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.2¢
- Implied odds
- 95.2%
- Size
- $73.7k
- Placed
- Mar 28, 07:47 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jeffy33
- Tx
- 0xef8024ab…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+7.1 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95.2¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 97.4¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $12.3k | called |