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What this means. A wallet put $477.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$477.3k
BUY Yes @ 43¢ · 1,110,000 shares in 36 fills
Size ≥ $250k36 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet jdsahgf took Yes (buy) for $477.3k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $477.3k+3
36 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- As American odds
- +133 no vig
- Size
- $477.3k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 13:31 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jdsahgf
- Tx
- 0xec84062d…
This wallet's graded record
0/10-38.4 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -43 ptsYes price · entry 43¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |