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What this means. A wallet put $49.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.8k
BUY Yes @ 75¢ · 66,248 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet thegreatjeff took Yes (buy) for $49.8k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−304American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.2%
- As American odds
- −304 no vig
- Size
- $49.8k
- Placed
- Oct 03, 23:29 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 06, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thegreatjeff
- Tx
- 0xdccffcb6…
This wallet's graded record
5/11-14.2 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsYes price · entry 75¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.95M | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 94.6¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | MED BUY Yes @ 96.7¢ | $82.6k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW SELL Yes @ 95.6¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $17.8k | excluded |