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What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.8k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 33,753 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet alienreal took Yes (buy) for $20.8k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−161American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 61.7%
- As American odds
- −161 no vig
- Size
- $20.8k
- Placed
- Apr 09, 10:04 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- alienreal
- Tx
- 0xdbf55eaa…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.1 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |