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What this means. A wallet put $28.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded
$28.9k
SELL No @ 97.1¢ · 29,775 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took No (sell) for $28.9k at an average 97.1¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $28.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
97.1¢
Implied odds
2.9%
Size
$28.9k
Placed
May 26, 09:36 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0xd712475e…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 0xad2f…d8c6 NEW115d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege116d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege117d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% kevtp118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% KazLC118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% HongKongMenace119d agoexcluded