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What this means. A wallet put $647.9k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$647.9k
BUY Spain @ 59¢ · 1,095,000 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250k8 fills in 1hFresh wallet4.6× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet fkenzofernandez took Spain (buy) for $647.9k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $647.9k+3
8 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−145American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.2%
- As American odds
- −145 no vig
- Size
- $647.9k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 11:49 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- fkenzofernandez
- Tx
- 0xd09820da…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-25.9 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsSpain price · entry 59¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |