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What this means. A wallet put $15.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.1k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 15,176 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xf98b…bfc5 took No (buy) for $15.1k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.1k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $15.1k
- Placed
- Jan 01, 11:01 EST
- Market close
- Dec 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xf98b…bfc5
- Tx
- 0xceb3bd0a…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-2.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $169.9k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $194.7k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |