← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $29.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.3k
SELL No @ 97.8¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet pako took No (sell) for $29.3k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 2.2%
- Size
- $29.3k
- Placed
- Nov 14, 17:36 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pako
- Tx
- 0xcd827d32…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-12.1 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $126.9k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $225.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $100.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.4k | excluded |