← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $174.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$174.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 175,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0xad96…d498 took No (sell) for $174.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $174.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $174.3k
- Placed
- Sep 11, 14:24 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xad96…d498
- Tx
- 0xc3659eb4…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+10.1 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $172.6k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |