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What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.5k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 41,533 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet auggl00p took Yes (buy) for $25.5k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−160American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 61.5%
- As American odds
- −160 no vig
- Size
- $25.5k
- Placed
- Feb 26, 07:29 EST
- Market close
- Feb 26, 15:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- auggl00p
- Tx
- 0xc01f5625…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-36.9 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -62 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.7k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $57.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $12.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $21.2k | excluded |