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What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?missed
$25.5k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 41,533 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet auggl00p took Yes (buy) for $25.5k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−160American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
61.5%
As American odds
−160 no vig
Size
$25.5k
Placed
Feb 26, 07:29 EST
Market close
Feb 26, 15:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
auggl00p
Tx
0xc01f5625…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-36.9 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -62 pts
Yes price · entry 62¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $25.5k WHALE $25.5K @ 62¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% GrizzliesSuck239d agoexcluded
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% ChompChomp888239d agoexcluded
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $86.7k
3.4× usual
0% norrisfan239d agoexcluded
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $57.1k
2.5× usual
0% nz7239d agoexcluded
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?LOW SELL No @ 89¢ $12.0k11% igetlitty239d agoexcluded
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?LOW BUY No @ 36¢ $21.2k36% Airpods123239d agoexcluded