nz7

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.7 wins, so it did -16.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-16.5 pts

Called / graded

2/4

Expected from price

2.7

Flagged volume

$297.7k

Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$240.1k

Last 30 days −$11.8k · $43.33M volume · 29,368 trades · since Dec 29, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$5.32M

Open P&L · 12 positions

−$22.0k

Closed-position win rate

93%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

298d

925 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	4	2	2.7	-16.5 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 5.1¢	$12.8k	95%	132d ago	called
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$46.0k	0%	219d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Lakers	LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢	$12.3k	55%	227d ago	excluded
Clippers vs. Warriors	LOW BUY Warriors @ 47¢	$10.7k	47%	235d ago	missed
Celtics vs. Bucks	LOW BUY Bucks @ 44¢	$17.5k	44%	235d ago	missed
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$57.1k 2.5× usual	0%	239d ago	excluded
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?	LOW BUY No @ 37¢	$21.1k	37%	239d ago	excluded
76ers vs. Pacers	LOW BUY 76ers @ 80¢	$41.6k	80%	241d ago	called
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$28.8k	0%	241d ago	excluded
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?	LOW BUY No @ 30¢	$23.3k	30%	241d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Pistons	LOW BUY Spurs @ 47¢	$26.6k	47%	242d ago	excluded

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 5.1¢$12.8k

LOW nz7 · 132d ago

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$46.0k

LOW nz7 · 219d ago

Timberwolves vs. Lakersexcluded

BUY Timberwolves @ 55¢$12.3k

LOW nz7 · 227d ago

Clippers vs. Warriorsmissed

BUY Warriors @ 47¢$10.7k

LOW nz7 · 235d ago

Celtics vs. Bucksmissed

BUY Bucks @ 44¢$17.5k

LOW nz7 · 235d ago

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$57.1k

LOW nz7 · 239d ago

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?excluded

BUY No @ 37¢$21.1k

LOW nz7 · 239d ago

76ers vs. Pacerscalled

BUY 76ers @ 80¢$41.6k

LOW nz7 · 241d ago

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$28.8k

LOW nz7 · 241d ago

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?excluded

BUY No @ 30¢$23.3k

LOW nz7 · 241d ago

Spurs vs. Pistonsexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 47¢$26.6k

LOW nz7 · 242d ago

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