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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
$10.1k
BUY No @ 65¢ · 15,579 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What happened

Wallet cocos228 took No (buy) for $10.1k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
65¢
Implied odds
65.0%
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Oct 21, 10:25 EDT
Market close
Nov 03, 23:59 EST
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
cocos228
Tx
0xaed8bfcd…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+11.7 pts
expected 1.6 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry +1.5 pts
No price · entry 65¢ · now 66¢
60¢66¢73¢ Whale entry 65¢ · $10.1k WHALE $10.1K @ 65¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 33¢ $15.8k33% thesingularityisnear1d agopending
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW SELL No @ 64¢ $11.4k36% MisTKy PROVEN4d agopending