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What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.4k
SELL No @ 64¢ · 17,791 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (sell) for $11.4k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 36.0%
- Size
- $11.4k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 15:02 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x8c9f8817…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry -3.5 ptsNo price · entry 64¢ · now 68¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $15.8k | pending |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY No @ 65¢ | $10.1k | pending |