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What this means. A wallet put $59.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?called
$59.8k
BUY No @ 91¢ · 65,734 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteProven wallet2.8× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $59.8k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $59.8k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
91¢
Implied odds
91.0%
Size
$59.8k
Placed
May 25, 09:46 EDT
Market close
May 25, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0xae039568…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +9 pts
No price · entry 91¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 91¢ · $59.8k WHALE $59.8K @ 91¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.6k0% 5245242150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% SomeoneIn2077150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $76.2k
2.3× usual
0% Pajamapants150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% badbbd150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% Circlebite150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $21.6k100% d1k21150d agoexcluded