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Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $141.2k on Patriots, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed$141.2k
BUY Patriots @ 50¢ · 282,434 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 432614799197 took Patriots (buy) for $141.2k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Seahawks, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $141.2k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Patriots wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $141.2k
- Placed
- Jan 27, 12:20 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 18:30 EST
- Result
- Seahawks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 432614799197
- Tx
- 0x9d7bfd42…
This wallet's graded record
3/10-16.5 pts
expected 4.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $32.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $48.5k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $16.5k | excluded |