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What this means. A wallet put $47.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$47.6k
BUY No @ 68¢ · 70,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xfd29…77ae took No (buy) for $47.6k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $47.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $47.6k
- Placed
- Apr 28, 14:21 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xfd29…77ae
- Tx
- 0x93bc2cab…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-3.5 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsNo price · entry 68¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | LOW BUY No @ 70¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | HIGH BUY No @ 70¢ | $551.1k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 31¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | MED BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $12.0k | missed |