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What this means. A wallet put $13.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 80% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.0 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.9k
BUY No @ 80¢ · 17,471 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Arbguy took No (buy) for $13.9k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 80% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 80¢ means
80%chance the market gave
−393American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 79.7%
- As American odds
- −393 no vig
- Size
- $13.9k
- Placed
- Mar 31, 17:56 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Arbguy
- Tx
- 0x9356b4e6…
This wallet's graded record
15/23-0.0 pts
expected 15.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |