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What this means. A wallet put $54.2k on Knicks, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.1 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Knicks vs. Celticsmissed
$54.2k
BUY Knicks @ 45¢ · 121,584 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hProven walletSports

What happened

Wallet Talvez10 took Knicks (buy) for $54.2k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Celtics, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $54.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+124American odds
$1.00paid per share if Knicks wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
45¢
Implied odds
44.6%
As American odds
+124 no vig
Size
$54.2k
Placed
Oct 23, 10:00 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 19:00 EDT
Result
Celtics
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Talvez10
Tx
0x8b7582e9…
This wallet's graded record
14/25+3.1 pts
expected 13.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
Knicks price · entry 45¢ · resolved Celtics
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $54.2k WHALE $54.2K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Knicks vs. CelticsLOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ $14.3k0% 0x1196…fe977h agoexcluded
Knicks vs. CelticsLOW BUY Knicks @ 12¢ $12.4k12% NS137h agoexcluded
Knicks vs. CelticsLOW BUY Celtics @ 85¢ $33.3k
2.0× usual
85% 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153847h agoexcluded
Knicks vs. CelticsMED BUY Celtics @ 86¢ $11.6k86% alwayspolwin NEW7h agoexcluded
Knicks vs. CelticsLOW BUY Knicks @ 49¢ $14.7k49% Woaifacai9h agoexcluded
Knicks vs. CelticsMED BUY Knicks @ 46¢ $25.0k46% robustmst9h agoexcluded