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What this means. A wallet put $19.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.7k
BUY No @ 98.3¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet Eatpraylove took No (buy) for $19.7k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−5782American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 98.3%
- Size
- $19.7k
- Placed
- Mar 07, 00:52 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Eatpraylove
- Tx
- 0x8a8799e6…
This wallet's graded record
9/10-1.0 pts
expected 9.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $62.9k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |