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Nuggets vs. Thundercalled
What this means. A wallet put $33.1k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.1k
BUY Thunder @ 73¢ · 45,290 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet BITCOINTO500K took Thunder (buy) for $33.1k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $33.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 73.0%
- As American odds
- −270 no vig
- Size
- $33.1k
- Placed
- Feb 27, 15:33 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 21:30 EST
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BITCOINTO500K
- Tx
- 0x87432698…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-23.5 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +27 ptsThunder price · entry 73¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $166.7k 6.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $34.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ | $12.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 89¢ | $12.4k | excluded |