← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.7 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 20¢ · 75,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Jsram took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 20¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 20¢ means
20%chance the market gave
+400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 20¢
- Implied odds
- 20.0%
- As American odds
- +400 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Jul 12, 07:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jsram
- Tx
- 0x77bf9f40…
This wallet's graded record
11/33+3.7 pts
expected 9.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +80 ptsYes price · entry 20¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |