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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Elena Rybakina, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY Elena Rybakina @ 33¢ · 41,195 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Elena Rybakina (buy) for $13.6k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Iga Swiatek. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $13.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Elena Rybakina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- As American odds
- +203 no vig
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Aug 20, 19:17 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 20, 19:05 EDT
- Result
- Iga Swiatek
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x76eaf821…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -33 ptsElena Rybakina price · entry 33¢ · resolved Iga Swiatek
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ | $38.4k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina | MED SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ | $2.13M 12.9× usual |
excluded |
| Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Iga Swiatek @ 99¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina | MED BUY Iga Swiatek @ 84¢ | $40.6k | excluded |