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What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.4k
SELL Yes @ 65¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet mr.ozi took Yes (sell) for $16.4k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 34.6%
- As American odds
- +189 no vig
- Size
- $16.4k
- Placed
- Apr 10, 11:58 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mr.ozi
- Tx
- 0x6ee6387b…
This wallet's graded record
11/21-8.7 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -35 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |