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Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $28.5k on Timberwolves, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 48 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsmissed$28.5k
BUY Timberwolves @ 18¢ · 158,266 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet YYYYY999 took Timberwolves (buy) for $28.5k at an average 18¢. At that price the market implied a 18% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $28.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 18¢ means
18%chance the market gave
+456American odds
$1.00paid per share if Timberwolves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 18¢
- Implied odds
- 18.0%
- As American odds
- +456 no vig
- Size
- $28.5k
- Placed
- Apr 27, 16:48 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 27, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- YYYYY999
- Tx
- 0x6d6d5454…
This wallet's graded record
23/48-3.4 pts
expected 24.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -18 ptsTimberwolves price · entry 18¢ · resolved Nuggets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.3¢ | $111.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 99.7¢ | $40.8k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 98.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 22¢ | $10.7k | excluded |